Sandip Basu Delhi India
Corona- A Scare or Blessing
We are going through one the toughest phase of 21st century. Covid 19 started its operation from Wuhan to spread all over world. We are in scare and just counting the number without doing anything. Govt are trying their best by way of lockdown countrywide. And as per their nature some of Indians are trying to violating the rule. Its in our nature that whatever govt impose we will try to violet. So what ever going through out country against lockdown is also nature or mentality of Indian people. Where govt fail was the decision taken on immediate effect every time. Govt should have announce on the day of One day Janta curfew or Home Sunday stay. Our Hon’ble Prime Minister should announce during his first announcement that every should travel to their respective states/ villages as it was mandatory to lockdown nationwide for atleast one Month. Whatever happened in Anand Vihar terminal was really scary as it might accelerate CORONA to enter in third phase. One day emergency rail service to respective states might ease the public to reach to their home town.
Now if we think other way then why we are so scary as lots of these types incident occurred earlier also. I am not telling that govt should not take any steps against COVID 19. But we should act in more planning manner. If we go through world meter data (as on data available at 8PM on 31/03/2020 ) total data worldwide is as follows:-
Currently Infected Patients
in Mild Condition
Serious or Critical
Cases which had an outcome:
Recovered / Discharged
Our world population is approximate 7.8 Billion. And affected due to corona is 8 lakhs. Means approximate 1.2% of total population. Should we feel scary or we have to act with proper planning!!. Also recovery percentage is 80%. Then also it’s a positive sign for us. The fear not only breaking the backbone of world economy but also it will push back us atleast 20-25 years back. It is good that Govt of India announcing lots of financial packages to fight against this epidemic but entire lockdown for medical equipment manufacturer leads slow production and also supply chain system. To establish a class quarantine center govt should use its entire workforces who were in these Industries.
Everyone saying that we should learn from the situation of Italy and Spain. Also Why so much causality over there!! If we go through their lifestyle the answer will be within that. Corona spread so rapidly throughout as their lifestyle admit that and when they realized it was out of control. Same in spain.
Business activity has collapsed from USA to Japan to Europe to Asian Countries at a record pace, as measures to contain the CORONA hammer the world economy, "The coronavirus outbreak represents a major external shock to the macro outlook, akin to a large-scale natural disaster," a report said. It is… For India initial estimates suggest that around 75 per cent of the economy will be shutdown, resulting in a direct output loss of nearly 4.5 per cent. We expect the central government to soon announce a stimulus package of around 0.7-1.1 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP). Along with the growth hit and poor tax collections, we expect the fiscal deficit for FY21 to balloon by over 1 per cent of GDP. Mr Gautam Duggad indicated that a single day of complete lockdown could shave off 14-19bp/55-75bp from annual/quarterly growth. “With 14 days of complete lockdown in April (assuming things normalize from mid-May'20), GDP could decline 12.2 per cent YoY in 1QFY21, first ever de-growth since the quarterly data became available since late 1990s. With two consecutive quarters of GDP decline, India could see its first recession since 1990s. On average, every month of lockdown results in output loss of around 7 per cent of the annual total. Hence, if 75 per cent of the economy is locked down for a month, then the output loss will around 5.5-6 per cent. A three week lockdown – as is the case currently – should result in an output loss of close to 4 per cent. In my knowledge, We are incurring complete ZERO revenue in 21 days for many segment of business where every vertical including Sports, Entertainment even RAILWAY will face a huge fixed, operational or expected loss.
Every natural disaster leaves with some blessings for human beings. It might be in any aspects or multiple. Nature adjust according to its needs and that’s where we have no clue of happenings.
यदा यदा हि धर्मस्य ग्लानिर्भवति भारत।
अभ्युत्थानमधर्मस्य तदात्मानं सृजाम्यहम् ॥४-७॥
परित्राणाय साधूनां विनाशाय च दुष्कृताम् ।
धर्मसंस्थापनार्थाय सम्भवामि युगे युगे ॥४-८॥
A devotional revolution comes through human development which leads a new environment. If we think about natural resources like Coal, Petroleum , due to CORONA lockdown a huge amount of resources saved without any effort. Pollution level is decreasing. Inter country war on its minimum note. Terrorist activities are nil. Nature saving itself. A pure weather for our next generation for the next fifty years can be made from the learning of this epidemic. If we could not adjust ourselves according to the human needs and not for human entertainment the word will be beautiful to live for ever.
MD & CEO
NGO working under MSDE.
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